Selection Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Selection senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages replicate the present standings within the race and don’t replicate private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and topic to vary primarily based on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.

SAG Awards Commentary (Up to date Jan. 6, 2025): Netflix’s Spanish-language crime musical “Emilia Pérez,” which dazzled on the Golden Globes on Sunday, is poised to dominate the upcoming SAG Awards nominations with 4 nods: forged ensemble, actress (Karla Sofía Gascón), and two supporting actress spots for Selena Gomez and Zoe Saldaña.

Projected to be sizzling on its heels within the nominations tally are Common Footage’ blockbuster musical “Depraved” and Focus Options’ papal thriller “Conclave,” every with three.

The SAG NomCom — comprised of two,000 nameless guild members in movie and TV — has a storied historical past of surprises. Movies like “Home of Gucci” and “The Huge Sick” have defied the percentages to earn recognition, whereas others like “Loopy Wealthy Asians” and “Beasts of No Nation” loved SAG glory however have been shut out on the Oscars. The guild’s penchant for giant, star-studded casts may give an edge to Sony Footage’ “Saturday Evening,” which boasts an ensemble of 26 particular person title playing cards. Ought to it obtain a nomination, it could surpass “Gosford Park” (2001) for the most important nominated forged in SAG historical past.

One of the best actor race is a nail-biter, with the fifth slot up for grabs. May it go to Daniel Craig for his transformative flip in “Queer,” Hugh Grant for the horror thriller “Heretic,” or Sebastian Stan, who delivered stellar performances in each “The Apprentice” and “A Completely different Man?” And with Stan, that might convey his co-star Jeremy Robust in for the trip as effectively.

Within the fiercely aggressive finest actress class, Gascón (“Emilia Pérez”) and Cynthia Erivo (“Depraved”) are anticipated to shine in musical performances, whereas Demi Moore (“The Substance”) and Mikey Madison (“Anora”) have been constructing steam for weeks. Nonetheless, Marianne Jean-Baptiste’s groundbreaking portrayal in “Arduous Truths” may very well be the darkish horse. Jean-Baptiste not too long ago accomplished a uncommon critics’ trifecta, profitable accolades from the NYFCC, LAFCA, and the Nationwide Society of Movie Critics — a feat achieved by solely 5 different girls — twice by Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine” and “Tár”), Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”), and two different Leigh-directed main women, Sally Hawkins (“Glad-Go-Fortunate”) and Imelda Staunton (“Vera Drake”). Including additional confusion, Fernanda Torres, contemporary off her Golden Globe win for “I’m Nonetheless Right here,” may disrupt the race for Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) and Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”). I’m beginning to consider the class’s depth suggests no frontrunner is genuinely protected.

The supporting performing classes promise to be equally aggressive. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) and Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”), each snubbed on the Golden Globes, may discover redemption right here. In the meantime, nonetheless unheralded contenders like Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) and the duo from “A Full Unknown,” Elle Fanning and Monica Barbaro, stay wild playing cards. These classes usually have a good time under-the-radar performances, offering a chance for breakouts.

The SAG Awards have lengthy been a bellwether for Emmy contenders, and this yr is not any completely different. FX’s epic historic drama “Shōgun,” headlined by Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai, has already shattered data, turning into probably the most embellished drama collection in historical past. We count on it to nonetheless dominate with two Netflix collection, “The Diplomat” and “Squid Recreation.”

In comedy, ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” stays a dominant drive, with its intelligent writing and seamless ensemble — led by Quinta Brunson — cementing its standing as an awards darling. Different main contenders embody Hulu’s “Solely Murders within the Constructing,” that includes comedic heavyweights Steve Martin, Martin Quick, and Selena Gomez, and FX’s culinary drama “The Bear,” which has develop into one of many yr’s most critically lauded collection. Whether or not HBO/Max’s “Hacks” makes a roaring comeback stays.

The SAG Awards nominations can be unveiled on Wednesday, Jan. 8, with actors Joey King (“We Had been the Fortunate Ones”) and Cooper Koch (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”) asserting the honorees. It may very well be a profession milestone for Koch, as he’s prone to rating a nod for his chilling portrayal within the streaming collection.

The ultimate SAG Awards nomination predictions are under.

The thirty first Display screen Actors Guild Awards will air stay on Netflix on Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025, and the 97th Oscars can be held on Sunday, March 2.